Overland Track Weather - 20th to 23rd of April | Welcome Stability

Overland Track Forecast: Pelion Hut Area

Disclaimer & Safety Waiver Important: Read Before Using These Forecasts.

These weather outlooks are provided by an amateur enthusiast with a high level of interest in meteorology and extensive on-track experience as a hiking guide. I am not a qualified or professional meteorologist, and these forecasts are not official predictions.

They are interpretive insights based on multiple weather models, personal observations, and knowledge of local microclimates on the Overland Track. Weather in Tasmania's mountains is highly variable and can change rapidly—forecasts can be wrong, and conditions on the ground may differ significantly.

By reading or using this information, you acknowledge and agree that

  • All hiking and outdoor activities involve inherent risks, including exposure to severe weather, hypothermia, slips on wet/icy terrain, wind-related hazards, dehydration, and other dangers.

  • You participate entirely at your own risk.

  • This content is for informational and planning purposes only—it does not constitute professional weather advice, safety guarantees, or liability for any decisions you make.

  • You must independently verify conditions with official sources (e.g., Bureau of Meteorology at bom.gov.au, Tasmania Parks & Wildlife Service alerts, and local rangers).

  • Always carry appropriate gear, inform others of your plans, and be prepared to turn back or seek shelter if conditions deteriorate. In emergencies, call 000.

  • No warranty is made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. Use at your own discretion.

Overview (4-Day Summary):‍ ‍

Well it is clear that Summer is well and truly over. The blocking high pressure systems have moved further north, leaving Tasmania at the mercy of cold front after cold front. The nearby weather station at Mount Read has been hit with sub-zero temperatures and significant precipitation - 295mm in April so far - a huge uptick from 178mm for the whole month of April in 2025. Bushwalkers will be pleased to hear that some stability is returning for the rest of the month. Bringing with it warmer temperatures, more sun and very little precipitation. The only precipitation that will fall over the next days is a handful of mm on Wednesday afternoon/evening. Daytime temperatures are warm enough for comfortable walking and reduced risk of hypothermia (compared to the last few weeks) and overnight temperatures will be above freezing throughout.

Daily Breakdown:

  • Day 1: Monday 20th of April 2026

    • Temperature: Highs of 12-15°C. Overnight lows of 2-4 °C.

    • Wind: Negligible

    • Precipitation: None forecast

    • Weather Systems: High pressure, rising with the day.

    • Cloud Cover: Low cloud overnight, burning off to reveal mid and high level cloud.

  • Day 2: Tuesday 21st of April 2026

    • Temperature: Highs of 11-13°C. Overnight lows of 6°C.

    • Wind: Light north easterlies, increasing into the evening.

      • Morning: NE at 6-10km/h.

      • Afternoon: NE at 10-12km/h.

    • Precipitation: None forecast.

    • Weather Systems: High pressure in the morning, lowering slightly across the day.

    • Cloud Cover: Low cloud overnight, burning off by 1pm. Then low cloud again overnight.

  • Day 3: Wednesday 22nd of April 2026

    • Temperature: Highs of 9-11°C. Overnight lows of 5-7°C.

    • Wind: North easterlies increasing slightly in the afternoon.

      • Morning: NE at 10-13km/h.

      • Afternoon: NE at 10-16km/h.

    • Precipitation: 1.5 - 5mm. Most likely falling in the evening, or overnight. Because of the last few weeks, it is worth keeping an eye on the forecast while you are on the track. This has potential to either worsen, or disappear completely.

    • Weather Systems: Low pressure trough crossing the state.

    • Cloud Cover: Low cloud all day.

  • Day 4: Thursday 23rd of April 2026

    • Temperature: Highs of 12-14°C. Overnight lows of 3-6°C.

    • Wind: Light northerlies all day.

    • Precipitation: None forecast.

    • Weather Systems: High pressure throughout day.

    • Cloud Cover: Low cloud in the morning, burning off in the afternoon

Advice from a Guide:

  • You’ll wake up slicked with condensation this week, if you’re in tents. Bring a chux cloth to wipe down the inside of you’re tent when you wake up. If planning to sleep in tents all week, consider a synthetic sleeping bag.

  • The creeks will be brimming with water this week, check your map for crossings to reduce your carried water weight.

  • As far as summits go this week - Monday, Tuesday and Thursday (Afternoon) look to be the best opportunities. Wednesday’s low cloud and forecast rain adds unnecessary risk and prevents helicopter rescue.

  • This forecast looks typical for high pressure in the mountains. Cold air will pool in the valleys overnight, causing the formation of low cloud. For the most part this cloud will burn off throughout the day.

  • The more humid (cloudy) mornings will likely feel quiet cold. Humid air conducts heat away from your body more effectively than dry air. Don’t be afraid to start in layers. ‘Be bold - start cold’ doesn’t always make for enjoyable walking.

  • If you are seeking more advice before your own Overland then click here

Looking for something different? Check out the Adventure Journal

https://www.edwardphilp.com/adventurejournal



If this forecast has helped you plan safer or better trips, a small contribution helps me keep producing them.

Next
Next

Overland Track Weather - 14th to 17th of April | Low Cloud and Constant Rain