Overland Track Weather - 14th to 17th of April | Low Cloud and Constant Rain
Overland Track Forecast: Pelion Hut Area
Disclaimer & Safety Waiver Important: Read Before Using These Forecasts.
These weather outlooks are provided by an amateur enthusiast with a high level of interest in meteorology and extensive on-track experience as a hiking guide. I am not a qualified or professional meteorologist, and these forecasts are not official predictions.
They are interpretive insights based on multiple weather models, personal observations, and knowledge of local microclimates on the Overland Track. Weather in Tasmania's mountains is highly variable and can change rapidly—forecasts can be wrong, and conditions on the ground may differ significantly.
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You must independently verify conditions with official sources (e.g., Bureau of Meteorology at bom.gov.au, Tasmania Parks & Wildlife Service alerts, and local rangers).
Always carry appropriate gear, inform others of your plans, and be prepared to turn back or seek shelter if conditions deteriorate. In emergencies, call 000.
No warranty is made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. Use at your own discretion.
Overview (4-Day Summary):
There is snow on Cradle Mountain after a brutally cold and wet few days. Mount Read -the closest weather station to Cradle - recorded 121mm of rain and temperatures down to -1.5°C. How long that snow will hang around is the next question, the next few days are warm enough and wet enough to melt most of what has fallen. Two passing cold fronts and consistent low pressure dominate this forecast. The cold fronts will bring quick bouts of rain and the low pressure will bring low cloud, mizzle and light rain throughout the week.
Daily Breakdown:
Day 1: Tuesday 14th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 8°C. Overnight lows of 2-4°C.
Wind: Westerlies, building with the day.
Morning: W at 5–10 km/h.
Afternoon: W at 15 - 20km/h.
Precipitation: 3-8mm. Drizzle all day until more intense rain with the arrival of the cold front in the afternoon/evening.
Weather Systems: Cold front passing over the state.
Day 2: Wednesday 15th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 5–6°C. Overnight lows of 4-5°C.
Wind: Consistent Westerlies
Morning: W at 10-15km/h.
Afternoon: W at 10-15km/h.
Precipitation: 1-3mm. Constant mist / light rain.
Weather Systems: Slightly higher pressure than yesterday.
Day 3: Thursday 16th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 8-10 °C. Overnight lows of 2-3°C.
Wind: North Westerlies turning westerly in afternoon.
Morning: NW at 10-20km/h.
Afternoon: W at 20-30km/h.
Precipitation: 9-15mm. Most of this will fall at the arrival of the cold front. Timing wise its a little too far out to give an accurate time of arrival. But, it looks more likely to be in the morning (10am) at this stage.
Weather Systems: Cold front crossing the state.
Day 4: Friday 17th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 2–4 °C. Overnight lows of 2°C.
Wind: Strong South Westerlies all day.
Morning: SW at 15-20 km/h.
Afternoon: SW at 20-30 km/h.
Precipitation: 2-5mm. Constant mist / light rain. Lessening as pressure rises through the day.
Weather Systems: Very low pressure in the morning, but rising as day continues.
Advice from a Guide:
Maintain a pace you can sustain all day, stopping to eat/drink/swap layers will cool you down quickly.
Bring layers that will stay warm even if wet. I would be walking in fleece and raincoat/rain pants this whole week.
Make sure you are wearing ankle high leather boots, they will keep your feet warmer than trail runners. Consider purchasing some waterproof socks.
Gore-tex gloves are never fully waterproof - Buy some thick washing up gloves and use them as an outer glove.
You’ll wake up slicked with condensation this week, if you’re in tents. Bring a chux cloth to wipe down the inside of you’re tent when you wake up. If planning to sleep in tents all week, consider a synthetic sleeping bag.
As far as summits go this week - Wednesday morning looks to be the best opportunity. All other days will be wet and clouded over.
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