Overland Track Weather - 10th to 13th of April | Extreme Hypothermia Risk
Overland Track Forecast: Pelion Hut Area
Disclaimer & Safety Waiver Important: Read Before Using These Forecasts.
These weather outlooks are provided by an amateur enthusiast with a high level of interest in meteorology and extensive on-track experience as a hiking guide. I am not a qualified or professional meteorologist, and these forecasts are not official predictions.
They are interpretive insights based on multiple weather models, personal observations, and knowledge of local microclimates on the Overland Track. Weather in Tasmania's mountains is highly variable and can change rapidly—forecasts can be wrong, and conditions on the ground may differ significantly.
By reading or using this information, you acknowledge and agree that
All hiking and outdoor activities involve inherent risks, including exposure to severe weather, hypothermia, slips on wet/icy terrain, wind-related hazards, dehydration, and other dangers.
You participate entirely at your own risk.
This content is for informational and planning purposes only—it does not constitute professional weather advice, safety guarantees, or liability for any decisions you make.
You must independently verify conditions with official sources (e.g., Bureau of Meteorology at bom.gov.au, Tasmania Parks & Wildlife Service alerts, and local rangers).
Always carry appropriate gear, inform others of your plans, and be prepared to turn back or seek shelter if conditions deteriorate. In emergencies, call 000.
No warranty is made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. Use at your own discretion.
Overview (4-Day Summary):
This weeks forecast poses extreme risk for walkers on the Overland Track. High rainfall, snow, and freezing temperatures will combine to produce an extremely high hypothermia risk. There is currently a bushwalkers warning for the Central Plateau, I strongly suggest you read the warning update at 11pm EST tonight. Parks could offer a refund to unwilling walkers, if this is your first multi-day hike in Tasmania and you have little experience walking in the forecasted conditions, take the refund. Come back between January and March next year during periods of more stable weather. If you are unsure of whether to proceed then don’t.
Daily Breakdown:
Day 1: Friday 10th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 2–5°C. Overnight lows of 0 to 1°C.
Wind: North-easterlies, building with the day.
Morning: NE at 8–15 km/h.
Afternoon: NE at 18 - 25km/h.
Precipitation: 18-25mm. Consistent throughout the day. If the temperature is 3°C or less, this precipitation will be falling as snow. The majority of the days temperature is at 3°C or less, so expect this to be falling as snow. 1mm = 1cm of snow
Weather Systems: Extremely low pressure.
Warning: These conditions pose a major hypothermia risk and hikers should exercise extreme caution.
Day 2: Saturday 11th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 2–4°C. Overnight lows of 1-2°C.
Wind: Strong Westerlies
Morning: W at 15-20km/h.
Afternoon: W at 20-25km/h.
Precipitation: 25-33mm. Consistent throughout the day. If the temperature is 3°C or less, this precipitation will be falling as snow. The majority of the days temperature is at 3°C or less, so expect this to be falling as snow. 1mm = 1cm of snow
Weather Systems: Low pressure trough crossing the state.
Warning: These conditions pose a major hypothermia risk and hikers should exercise extreme caution.
Day 3: Sunday 12th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 3-5 °C. Overnight lows of 3-6°C.
Wind: Strong South-westerlies
Morning: SW at 18-20km/h.
Afternoon: SW at 10-21km/h.
Precipitation: 3-5mm - Likely falling as sleet
Weather Systems: Pressure rising as day continues.
Day 4: Monday 13th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 8–9 °C. Overnight lows of 4–8°C.
Wind: South easterlies - Low confidence amongst forecasts models.
Morning: 10-20 km/h.
Afternoon: 13-23 km/h.
Precipitation: 2-5mm.
Weather Systems: Pressure rising as day continues.
Advice from a Guide:
Maintain a pace you can sustain all day, stopping to eat/drink/swap layers will cool you down quickly.
Bring layers that will stay warm even if wet. I would be walking in fleece and raincoat/rain pants this whole week.
Make sure you are wearing ankle high leather boots, they will keep your feet warmer than trail runners. Consider purchasing some waterproof socks.
Gore-tex gloves are never fully waterproof - Buy some thick washing up gloves and use them as an outer glove.
You’ll wake up slicked with condensation this week, if you’re in tents. Bring a chux cloth to wipe down the inside of you’re tent when you wake up. If planning to sleep in tents all week, consider a synthetic sleeping bag.
As far as summits go this week. They should be avoided on on all of the forecasted days
If this is your first multi-day hike in Tasmania and you have little experience walking in the forecasted conditions, consider postponing trip.
Helicopter rescue will be off the cards this week. If something happens to you during the trip you will likely not be able to rescued until until the weather improves on Monday or Tuesday
If you’re keen and confident then enjoy the winter wonderland!
For further explanation of the weather systems referenced in this forecast, check out my explainer article.
Tasmanian Weather Systems: What They Look Like — and Mean — on the Ground
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