Overland Track Weather - 3rd to 6th April | Cold and Cloudy
Overland Track Forecast: Pelion Hut Area
Disclaimer & Safety Waiver Important: Read Before Using These Forecasts.
These weather outlooks are provided by an amateur enthusiast with a high level of interest in meteorology and extensive on-track experience as a hiking guide. I am not a qualified or professional meteorologist, and these forecasts are not official predictions.
They are interpretive insights based on multiple weather models, personal observations, and knowledge of local microclimates on the Overland Track. Weather in Tasmania's mountains is highly variable and can change rapidly—forecasts can be wrong, and conditions on the ground may differ significantly.
By reading or using this information, you acknowledge and agree that
All hiking and outdoor activities involve inherent risks, including exposure to severe weather, hypothermia, slips on wet/icy terrain, wind-related hazards, dehydration, and other dangers.
You participate entirely at your own risk.
This content is for informational and planning purposes only—it does not constitute professional weather advice, safety guarantees, or liability for any decisions you make.
You must independently verify conditions with official sources (e.g., Bureau of Meteorology at bom.gov.au, Tasmania Parks & Wildlife Service alerts, and local rangers).
Always carry appropriate gear, inform others of your plans, and be prepared to turn back or seek shelter if conditions deteriorate. In emergencies, call 000.
No warranty is made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. Use at your own discretion.
Overview (4-Day Summary):
It has a wet few weeks up in Tasmania’s high places. Mount Read - the closest weather station to the Overland - recorded around 80mm of rain over the last 14 days. This weeks forecast will be dictated by two major weather systems. High pressure until a cold front hits on Monday. The BOM is cautiously predicting between 3mm and 15mm on Monday, but other forecasting models are suggesting between 5mm and 12mm. All models are aligning this week, giving the forecast below a high confidence rate.
The first few days of this forecast will be rainless, with potentially freezing overnight temperatures. On Sunday night cloud will arrive and eventually - On Monday afternoon - the arrival of a cold will bring the rain.
Daily Breakdown:
Day 1: Friday 3rd of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 5–7°C. Overnight lows of 1 to -1°C.
Wind: Strong South-westerlies bringing cool temps throughout day, only dropping at night.
Morning: S at 15–20 km/h.
Afternoon: S at 15 - 20km/h.
Precipitation: 0-1mm. Very little rain in the morning.
Weather Systems: Pressure slowly rising through the day.
Warning: Friday morning wlll be 3°C very humid, and likely wet. These conditions pose a hypothermia risk and hikers should exercise caution when walking.
Day 2: Saturday 4th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 10–12°C. Overnight lows of 1-3°C.
Wind: Little to none.
Morning: E at 4km/h.
Afternoon: N at 10km/h.
Precipitation: None forecast. Cloudless
Weather Systems: High Pressure.
Day 3: Sunday 5th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 11 °C. Overnight lows of 6-8°C.
Wind: North Easterlies building with the day.
Morning: NE at 8-12 km/h.
Afternoon: NE at 5 km/h..
Precipitation: None forecast.
Weather Systems: Pressure dropping. Low cloud throughout day.
Day 4: Monday 6th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 10–11 °C. Overnight lows of 9–6°C.
Wind: Initially North Easterlies, dropping with arrival of cold front
Morning: 15 km/h.
Afternoon: 15-20 km/h.
Precipitation: 5-15mm. Low confidence in rain amount. I imagine confidence will increase closer to the rain event.
Weather Systems: Pressure dropping with arrival of cold front. Low cloud all day.
Advice from a Guide:
There is plenty of water in the creeks at the moment, you can reduce water weight by topping up as you go, check your map to identify river crossings.
Make sure you have a mid layer that will still keep you warm and not overheat when walking. Cold enough in the mornings to be starting the day walking in a thermal or mid-layer depending on preference.
There will likely be mud around after last weeks rain. Stick to the track and embrace any mud you come across. If you try to step around the mud you’ll widen the track and kill the plants you tread on.
You’ll wake up slicked with condensation this week, if you’re in tents. Bring a chux cloth to wipe down the inside of you’re tent when you wake up. If planning to sleep in tents all week, consider a synthetic sleeping bag.
As far as summits go this week. They should be avoided on Monday. Low cloud can be dis-orienting for novice navigators and should be avoided depending on experience level.
Friday morning poses a high hypothermia risk. Delay your start if you are worried about your ability to manage your layers.
For further explanation of the weather systems referenced in this forecast, check out my explainer article.
Tasmanian Weather Systems: What They Look Like — and Mean — on the Ground
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