Overland Track Weather - 24th to 27th of April | Sunshine and Fagus
Overland Track Forecast: Pelion Hut Area
Disclaimer & Safety Waiver Important: Read Before Using These Forecasts.
These weather outlooks are provided by an amateur enthusiast with a high level of interest in meteorology and extensive on-track experience as a hiking guide. I am not a qualified or professional meteorologist, and these forecasts are not official predictions.
They are interpretive insights based on multiple weather models, personal observations, and knowledge of local microclimates on the Overland Track. Weather in Tasmania's mountains is highly variable and can change rapidly—forecasts can be wrong, and conditions on the ground may differ significantly.
By reading or using this information, you acknowledge and agree that
All hiking and outdoor activities involve inherent risks, including exposure to severe weather, hypothermia, slips on wet/icy terrain, wind-related hazards, dehydration, and other dangers.
You participate entirely at your own risk.
This content is for informational and planning purposes only—it does not constitute professional weather advice, safety guarantees, or liability for any decisions you make.
You must independently verify conditions with official sources (e.g., Bureau of Meteorology at bom.gov.au, Tasmania Parks & Wildlife Service alerts, and local rangers).
Always carry appropriate gear, inform others of your plans, and be prepared to turn back or seek shelter if conditions deteriorate. In emergencies, call 000.
No warranty is made regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. Use at your own discretion.
Overview (4-Day Summary):
The last few days, as predicted, have provided some welcome stability to the Overland track after a month full of rain and snow. Expect more of the same for the next few days, sunny, not too cold, with very little forecast rain! Perfect for the turning of the Fagus, typically at its best around ANZAC day.
Daily Breakdown:
Day 1: Friday 24th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 15°C. Overnight lows of 5-7°C.
Wind: Light northerlies.
Morning: N at 6-8km/h.
Afternoon: N at 10-15km/h.
Precipitation: None forecast
Weather Systems: High pressure
Cloud Cover: Low cloud overnight, burning off.
Day 2: Saturday 25th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 14-16°C. Overnight lows of 5-8°C.
Wind: Building northerlies.
Morning: N at 5km/h.
Afternoon: N at 15-20km/h.
Precipitation: None forecast.
Weather Systems: High pressure, but dropping slightly throughout the day.
Cloud Cover: High cloud - often feels warmer under high cloud due to the greenhouse effect
Day 3: Sunday 26th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 13-15°C. Overnight lows of 5-6°C.
Wind: Light north easterlies.
Precipitation: 0-10mm. This is an interesting one, BOM’s forecasting model (ACCESS-G3) is actually predicting 10mm of rain, 8 of which is falling in the early morning. Other forecasting models, that the BOM compares their model to, are suggesting zero rain. They have downgraded their own model for their official forecast of between 0-2mm. This is due to a cold front, that is predicted to decay and (potentially) cross the state, as a low pressure trough, or dissipate altogether. Its a difficult one to predict. Prepare for 10mm and hope for the best!
Weather Systems: Low pressure trough crossing the state.
Day 4: Monday 27th of April 2026
Temperature: Highs of 10-13°C. Overnight lows of 4-6°C.
Wind: Light westerlies.
Precipitation: 0 -0.4mm. Falling in the morning if it does.
Weather Systems: High pressure throughout day.
Cloud Cover: Low cloud in the morning, burning off in the afternoon
Advice from a Guide:
You’ll wake up slicked with condensation this week, if you’re in tents. Bring a chux cloth to wipe down the inside of you’re tent when you wake up. If planning to sleep in tents all week, consider a synthetic sleeping bag.
The creeks will be brimming with water this week, check your map for crossings to reduce your carried water weight.
As far as summits go this week - Friday, Saturday and Monday look to be the best opportunities. Sundays low cloud and forecast rain adds unnecessary risk and prevents helicopter rescue.
This forecast looks typical for high pressure in the mountains. Cold air will pool in the valleys overnight, causing the formation of low cloud. For the most part this cloud will burn off throughout the day.
The more humid (cloudy) mornings will likely feel quiet cold. Humid air conducts heat away from your body more effectively than dry air. Don’t be afraid to start in layers. ‘Be bold - start cold’ doesn’t always make for enjoyable walking.
If you are seeking more tailored advice for own Overland then click here
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